Checks and Balances in Dire Jeopardy

January, 2025

Washington — Many thanks are owed to the several plaintiffs who challenged the president's confusing and misguided budget-freeze order of January 27, 2025, and to the federal district judges who quickly stayed it, causing it to be withdrawn.  This renews confidence that our judicial branch can still be an effective check on the executive branch.  

My previous post expressed the hope that the Inspectors General fired by emails on January 25, 2025, would also seek judicial relief, because the firings are clearly illegal under legislation passed by Congress in 2022 to protect IGs.  So far, the IGs have not acted. 

One reason is offered by reporter Charlie Savage of the NYT, who in a front-page article suggests that the 2022 legislation is unconstitutional and that the president is eager to get the issue into a friendly court, increasing his executive power.  

Jack Goldsmith, writing in Lawfare, explores these constitutional issues cogently, concluding that part of the 2022 act dealing with the removal power may be unconstitutional, but that the other part dealing with whom the president may appoint, when an IG is removed, is not.  In a nutshell, the president may not appoint a lackey.  

What neither author addresses, however, is the possibility that the president will be happy not to appoint anyone, leaving the IG offices in the hands of acting officials whose terms are short and whose powers are much weaker than those of an office headed by a Senate-confirmed IG.    

In my experience, when confirmed IGs lead investigations and audits, their findings and recommendations have a good chance to stick, even in the face of hostility from cabinet secretaries who tolerate or even participate in fraud, waste, and abuse.  If the quality of an IG's work is compelling, and the IG persists over time, the IG can prevail.  

Take, for example, the Education IG's audit of excessive federal subsidies for a New Mexico student loan lender in 2005, which was overruled by Secretary Margaret Spellings.  We know from subsequent litigation and discovery involving other such entities why it was overruled: Congressman John Boehner's PAC was benefiting from huge contributions from the loan industry.  His former staff was even strategically placed in the Education department to tip off lenders before the IG arrived to audit them.*  

This cozy transactional arrangement was broken up by subsequent IG audits written by experienced staff, who also came down hard on the department's office of Federal Student Aid.  The audits cut off literally billions of dollars otherwise destined to be lost to fraud, waste, and abuse.  

This happy outcome could never have happened under an acting IG.  

Given such history, why would the ultimate transactionalist Donald Trump want to make any IG appointments when he can effectively sideline IG offices through firings and subsequent inaction, leaving the offices with weak and temporary leadership? Neither the legislative nor judicial branches can force him to make appointments.  I agree with Jack Goldsmith that our current legislators do not have the fortitude to protect IG offices, whatever the situation.  And they are hardly up to using the Take Care Clause against the executive, although the Constitution provides it.  

Which throws it back to the IGs to look to the judicial branch, where it is possible and even likely to find a judge who will stay their dismissals without trying to guess how the Supreme Court might rule on the constitutionality of the various parts of the 2022 IG act. Lacking clear direction from higher level courts, that's not the job of a federal district judge. 

For all we know, a stay might not result in the president's compliance with current law to give notice along with sufficiently substantive explanations for the IG firings — that's not his style.  And even if he were to go through the procedural steps of compliance, a judge might insist on following the letter of the law on substance.  

In the year or two a case might take to get to the Supreme Court, our jurisprudence might evolve ways to deal with an executive bent on destroying our nation's checks and balances.  It's a little too much to believe that courts would willingly write opinions sealing their own demise.  

But if the IGs do not bring a case, we'll never know.  

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* Dan E. Moldea, Money, Politics, and Corruption in U.S. Higher Education, 2020, p. 129.

"Fired" IGs Must Show Up for Work

January, 2025

Washington — With the President's January 24th attempt to fire many federal agencies' inspectors general — without notice as required by law — an early opportunity presents itself to determine whether we will remain a country governed by the rule of law.

I encourage the IGs to show up for work this week and, if necessary, seek court injunctions to require enforcement of the law, even if it precipitates a constitutional showdown among the executive, legislative, and judicial branches. Better sooner than later. 

IGs are duty-bound to identify and eliminate waste, fraud, and abuse in federal agencies.  If they cave in to illegal demands, they are violating their oaths.  

IGs can be effective even in the face of intense political and interest-group pressures.  At the U.S. Department of Education in 2005-2007, I witnessed courageous IG staff refuse to buckle under in the face of an outrageous false claims scheme to bilk taxpayers out of billions of dollars in the student loan program.  The IG held firm and eventually the Secretary and the White House had to back off.

This is not ancient history.  Details of how the scheme worked were released only three months ago, after a decision by the 4th Circuit Court of Appeals that the public has a right to see them.  Many who follow these issues suspect that other such schemes are now afoot to raid the department's $1.5 trillion student loan portfolio, awaiting a complaisant IG.

So, my plea to IGs is not to fold in the face of illegal acts.  Many of us are counting on you to abide by your oaths.

Urgent Focus Needed on German Elections

January, 2025

Berlin — Blasts and explosions rocked Berlin on New Years Eve, blowing out windows and doors.  It was not from war, but fireworks.  Many residents blamed city officials for not taking stronger legal measures against such fireworks, while wasting funds for the occasion on hundreds of additional but demonstrably helpless police. It is a sore point with residents who simultaneously see funds squeezed out of city budgets, cutting infrastructure needs, cultural affairs, and education.  

But the dissatisfaction won't topple Berlin's local red-black governing coalition, unlike the 2024 budget impasse that brought down the red-yellow-green coaliton at the national level, precipitating a call for German national elections on February 23rd.  

The way it is shaping up, the results of the new German election are likely to do more damage than shattering windows in Berlin.  The right-wing Alternative für Deutschland party is poised to make even stronger showings than it has in recent elections, due to the rapidly changing immigrant situation in Germany and the election-meddling of Elon Musk and Donald Trump in favor of the AfD.

The fall of Bashar al-Assad in Syria has emboldened the AfD to push for return of Syrians in Germany to their native country.  The appeal of this proposal across party and ideological lines — understandably some Syrians are eager to go — will attract voters to the AfD, making it appear more mainstream.

Musk and Trump, in endorsing the AfD, are seizing an opportunity to jump out in front of any strong AfD showing, to be able to claim that they are leading it and henceforth must be afforded a role in German national decisions through the AfD, such as the level of future support for Ukraine in its war against the aggressor Russia.  

The AfD is pro-Russia.  Its leader, Alice Weidel, is also close to Russia'a ally China, having lived several years in China and speaking Mandarin. 

Will German voters see through this audacious attempt by an American president-elect and his oligarch advisor to re-shape the world order through promotion of the AfD?  Or will the voters be distracted by local issues?  There is not much time before the national elections next month.  

And what about Americans?  Will my congressional delegation, which campaigns endlessly against the threat of China, and once supported Ukraine, take note?  Apparently not, so far.